Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.132815 0.157245 0.184556 0.217298 0.255435 0.298400 0.350422
2024-12-29 0.096410 0.128301 0.167927 0.220563 0.288399 0.372612 0.484790
2025-01-05 0.073246 0.107064 0.152779 0.218607 0.310394 0.433172 0.609042
2025-01-12 0.057081 0.090373 0.138701 0.213163 0.324001 0.481640 0.721228
2025-01-19 0.045404 0.077173 0.126283 0.206574 0.333071 0.522754 0.826049
2025-01-26 0.039046 0.070657 0.122299 0.211213 0.358354 0.589261 0.974841
2025-02-02 0.033738 0.064704 0.117939 0.214052 0.380396 0.652420 1.124777
2025-02-09 0.029143 0.059041 0.112966 0.214737 0.398362 0.710294 1.271782
2025-02-16 0.025709 0.054830 0.109754 0.217764 0.420274 0.776517 1.439187
2025-02-23 0.023482 0.052521 0.109594 0.226149 0.452479 0.863471 1.651074
2025-03-02 0.019969 0.046920 0.102193 0.219536 0.455714 0.898673 1.773537
2025-03-09 0.017722 0.043590 0.098771 0.220180 0.472699 0.960476 1.950642
2025-03-16 0.015377 0.039665 0.093629 0.216804 0.481768 1.009218 2.110207
2025-03-23 0.014027 0.037811 0.092677 0.222214 0.509571 1.097489 2.356167
2025-03-30 0.012375 0.034893 0.088867 0.220744 0.522534 1.157251 2.551099
2025-04-06 0.010717 0.031623 0.083696 0.215364 0.526154 1.197927 2.710682
2025-04-13 0.009232 0.028500 0.078352 0.208737 0.525998 1.230350 2.855793
2025-04-20 0.008508 0.027335 0.077709 0.213427 0.552566 1.323250 3.140039
2025-04-27 0.007778 0.026004 0.076420 0.216295 0.575095 1.409336 3.417370
2025-05-04 0.007040 0.024493 0.074406 0.216988 0.592352 1.485079 3.678505
2025-05-11 0.006472 0.023393 0.073342 0.220045 0.615875 1.577601 3.986743
2025-05-18 0.006142 0.022995 0.074213 0.228512 0.654280 1.709035 4.398020
2025-05-25 0.005368 0.020942 0.069907 0.221834 0.652090 1.742137 4.577875